Monday, 29 January 2024

F.I/[R.E] and relationships

Financial independence can be distilled down into a simple formula.  

Income >= Expenses. 

There are different degrees of F.I. but the common notion is that you are only really F.I. once your level of passive income surpasses your expenses to a certain degree. 

In any case, consider a fresh graduate out of school trying to get to a state of F.I. 

It is really quite formulaic - 1) maximize your income and replace income that is earned trading your time with that which is earned via capital; and 2) reduce your expenses.   

There are many ways to go about part 1) but the focus of this article is on the fundamentals of part 2 above and the main factor that drives it. 

In my humble opinion, in the context of Singapore and discussing this purely from an expense point of view, whether you can get to F.I./[R.E], how fast you can get there and remain there will depend on certain major factors described below, not whether you can suffer on S$3.50 cai png vs the need to consume S$20 avocado toast. 

Sure - it all adds up, but I believe these 3 factors are the big ones that can cause massive impact on your journey. I think the pareto principle holds true here. 

Key Factors

1) Your partner in life - Basically the person you will be living with in a long term relationship, whether its through a marriage or just a simple long term partnership. 

2) Your accommodation - I believe everyone needs a base of operations. Some prefer HDB which goes for a minimum S$300k, but others prefer a private apartment which will be at least 2 to 3x the price. 

3) Your transportation - Need to own a private vehicle? If you want one with four wheels, that's at least S$10k per annum in running costs. Two wheels might start at S$2.5k per annum. Unlimited public transport in Singapore will cost you S$1.5k per annum. 

What is the one major factor that will drive your F.I./[R.E.] process?

My own personal experience is that the choice of your partner will not only drive your path of F.I./[R.E.], but will also determine whether you will remain F.I./[R.E.]. 

This is because your partner will generally have a say (I guess for chauvinists it might be different) in the lifestyle aspirations for the both of you. And these aspirations will revolve around: 

1) Housing aspirations - Where and what kind of housing do you both want to stay in? 

2) Lifestyle consumption aspirations - Do you want to travel and how flash you both want to go? Where do you want to do most of the boring day to day eating? How do you want to get around Singapore? 

3) Children - Do you aspire to build a nest for 2 or do you want to play the game of life on hardcore mode and build a family in Singapore?

4) Career aspirations - How ambitious are the both of you in rising to the top of rat race? Do you love your jobs or are you the sort that work to get paid to live ? Do you want to set up a business of your own which requires a heavy infusion of capital? 

5) Familial obligations - Do you or your partner need to support your immediate family? Maybe you have ailing parents who actually require financial support, or perhaps a younger sibling whom you need to help foot their education expenses? 

6) Others - The list can go on.

Qualities I look out for in a partner

So what do you look out for in a potential partner? 

I'm not an expert in this field, though I have been through a couple of relationships since my junior college days, and in my experience, I found the below qualities to be important attributes:

1) Compatibility of aspirations and values - Are your aspirations largely compatible? How about your financial values? What is your lifestyle consumption habits like vis a vis your partners'? How about thoughts on contribution to household and life expenses - do you go 50-50 or you have to take it all on your chin?

2) Conflict resolution style - How do you both resolve conflict, which will invariably come up. Is there a mechanic which you can find some common ground in how such situations are taken care of? Basically can you work together as a team to face life? 

3) Openness to experiences - Do new experiences generally invigorate your partner, or does it cause terror and fright. Does your partner prefer routine instead of trying to deal with new experiences, whether sought after or imposed upon?   

5) Ability to learn and adapt - Is there a desire and ability to learn new tricks? How adaptable is one to changes, such as work requirements or lifestyle changes, especially in a situation where income is not exactly regular and subject to the vagaries of the stock market?   

Personal experience

Readers who have been with me from the start would probably know I only found my partner 5+ years ago in 2018 when I left banking - certainly helps when you have a clearer head and more control over your time. 

We dated for a while and decided to get married in mid 2022 - I have my own views on marriage in Singapore but that is for another topic. 

In all aspects, I must say I am a really lucky guy for being to find a gem like her, what more through one of those dating apps - a really curious personality who is open to new experiences with an ability to adapt and desire to learn and improve herself, and I am very grateful that she is in my life. 

From a financial standpoint, although her income levels then was slightly below the median in Singapore (creatives really do not get rewarded financially (at least at the start) in our society), I found the following behaviors to be positive and helped to give me the green light: 

1) Contribution to expenses - An early indication was her desire and actual contribution to lifestyle expenses on a joint and equal when it comes to eating out and traveling. 

2) Living below her means - Although her income was not high, she still managed to save money no matter how small the quantum.  

3) Ability and desire to learn - She is open to learning and improving herself in life. Be it financial knowledge and investments, budgeting works, etc, she is always looking to learn new things which might be helpful to her

4) Openness to experiences - Let's just say she has an open mind especially when it comes to how people live their lives, otherwise she would not have dated a "guy on extended sabbatical". I think we both have the shared belief that as long as you are financial responsible for your own expenses, you can choose to live the way you like. 

Perhaps for the single folks who are on your on financial independence journeys out there, maybe this list of qualities might be helpful if you are actually looking out for a partner, because this will help to mitigate any conflicts that might arise down the road. 

Maybe the other topic of interest is how do my wife and I live well together and share the financial burden, despite having different lifestyles - she is currently working full time, having found her groove in another industry that pays well, whereas I have been on an extended sabbatical for 8 months and counting. 

But that is another topic for another time. 

Remind me again - what is the one constant in life? 

Having said all that... the kicker for the spiel above is that such aspirations and values can change even though it might initially be green lights on all fronts. 

That is because your partner will change. 

You will change. 

Say maybe you start off working and think to yourself - all jobs suck balls, fuck I really want to hunker down and get F.I./[R.E.] ASAP.  

But after 10 years of living like a monk and working your job you realise hey maybe I have a bit more autonomy now and it is more tolerable and I enjoy this and that aspect, what the heck... 

Or you both started off not wanting kids, but 5 years down the road, suddenly you want a human kid and not just a fur-kid. 

Or maybe your partner didn't mind a HDB flat last time but upon seeing all her friends upgrading, she decided she wants to stay in a private apartment now?  

The list of potential conflicts that could arise is endless. 

What do you do then? 

The simple truth is I do not know - I am simply making life up as I go along, but I suspect such situations will resolve according to your individual priorities and how you work together as team in melding those priorities, so it comes down again to values. And I do find that it does help to be on the same pages in those aforementioned items at the start. 

But perhaps the wiser and older people with more relationship experience can help shed some light in these aspects? 

Friday, 26 January 2024

2023 finances and net worth thoughts

Hope everyone has had a great start to 2024. 

Well, I reckon I could have had a better start. 

Been battling a bug and sinus infection in the early weeks of 2024, but it looks like it is more or less healed up now. 

Certainly serves as a timely reminder that good health is a foundational piece to live the good life. 

Anyhow, I had some time to take a look at my finances for 2023 and this mainly serves as a pulse check now I have the time to sit and reflect for a bit. Personal financial planning and analysis - lol. 

In 2023, my total spending excluding rental and parental allowances came up to about c. S$65k or S$5.5k per month. 

My share of the rent and parental allowances came up to be c.S$31k or S$2.5k per month and I reckon this will come down by a few hundred per month in 2024 as my partner ramps up her contribution to the rent, and it will probably come down to S$1.5k per month once I get the keys to my BTO flat.  

Expenses

1) The largest contributor to the expenses line in 2023 was undoubtedly travel as total category spend came up to be c. S$28k, or c.43% of total spend. 

To give some context, this was the schedule of travel in 2023: 

1) c.2 months in Europe across France, Portugal, Spain and the United Kingdom over 2023; 
2) c.3 weeks in Japan;
3) c.2 weeks in Vietnam;
4) c.2 weeks in Hong Kong and Bangkok; and
5) c.1 week diving in East Malaysia 

So it works out to be close to 4 months overseas in 2023, or 33% of the time. I do think this expense might potentially drop in 2024 as I am contemplating basing myself more in Singapore to focus on building routines to develop and improve my skills. But hold that thought as contemplation is still underway.  

2) The second largest category was Food & Beverage, or expenses for dining out. This totaled S$13k, or c.20% of total spend. 

We do eat out as a couple quite a bit, even as we are currently trying to move towards home cooking for some part of the week. Alas, there ain't much insights to be had in this category. The highest single expenditure for each meal was perhaps c.S$350 and these were limited to special occasions.

I do think this might rise in 2024 though, given inflationary conditions and if I actually stay in SG more often. It is quite expensive to live in Singapore comparatively to the other places that I have visited last year.

3) The third largest category was surprisingly "Gifts" and that came up to be c. S$5.6k or c.9% of the total amounts. Weddings, birthdays of loved ones, ang pows for CNY and some treats for my old team at work over the course of the year to keep these guys going and motivated.

Now that I am an unemployed and unproductive member of society, I am going to heavily underweight the CNY ang pows and be more selective of the weddings I attend, especially when it comes to the extended family.

In summary - while the headline monthly expense of S$5.5k has surpassed my original FIRE budget (back in 2018) of S$4k, I think 2023 was an extraordinary year and I do expect expenses going forward to moderate accordingly within reason. 

That said, I do have some other thoughts on my increased flexibility towards expenses vis-a-vis experiences that I would probably espouse on in another future post. 

Net Worth - Total Resources and Total Liquidity 

I thought it might be helpful for the F.I.RE aficiondaos out there if I gave a breakdown on how I measure my net-worth while embarking on my F.I.RE plans. 

For measuring my own personal finances, I divvy it up into various categories below: 

1) Pure Cash and Deposits on Hand ("Cash") - Cold hard cash split into various traditional and digital bank accounts earnings meagre ST interest and also staggered ladder of T-bills. This is used to pay for my daily operating expenses. 

2) Cash Equivalents ("ST Trading") - Once used primarily by me to convert USD into SGD given the best exchange rates on market, this has morphed into a short term trading account where I test out various stonk strategies, like selling options, short term growth stock trading etc. 

This was only set up in 2020 and is currently 40% underwater due to perfect market timing and a lack of knife juggling training lol. This account is fully fungible with Cash and will be liquidated to supplement lifestyle when Cash runs low. 

3) Central Provident Fund and Supplementary Retirement Scheme ("CPF/SRS") - To the uninitiated, the Central Provident Fund is Singapore government's version of social security, with mandatory employer and self contributions which are awarded certain returns that are risk-free in nature. It comprises the Ordinary Account, Special Account and Medisave Account. 

I do utilize past contributions to my Ordinary Account for investments under the CPF Investment Scheme and this has been performing reasonably above the OA rate of 2.5% since I first started investing. The sole purpose of my OA is to fully cover my share of the HDB flat. I leave my Special Account alone as the base 4% rate of return is hard to beat and try to refrain from touching my MA (currently at maximum level) given the 4% rate of return. 

The Supplementary Retirement Scheme allows S$15.3k of tax deductible contribution annually, and is subject to a penalty and tax payment if this is withdrawn before your applicable statutory retirement age (was 62 when I set it up years ago).

This source of funds largely acts as a back-up in a shit hits the fan situation and I need an urgent emergency cash infusion. 

There are penalties to be paid but it will be lower than the tax rate I had to pay if I did not do these contributions then. 

4) LT Investments ("AUM") - This forms bulk of my net worth and is invested in a globally diversified managed fund across more than 1,000 equity counters. There is nil leverage involved and the fund solely invests in equities. 

This is the account where I am supposed to perform the much vaunted "safe withdrawal" method when my Cash and ST Trading starts running dry. But you know what the experts say - safe withdrawal also can make babies and cause you to change your plan lol. 

5) Other Investments ("OI") - This is my highly illiquid account which comprises private direct equity investments and crypto (only BTC and ETH). Also holding a right to receive liquidation proceeds from HodlNaut which I am ascribing a value of donut.

6) Employee Share Option Plan ("ESOP") - This is the see-through value of my equity I have earned with the start-up i worked for over 2.5 years, with a hefty discount applied on it.

I would think I do have a good handle on what the right discount is to apply since I actually led the fund raising efforts, but given the illiquidity and binary nature of things of such ESOP in these market conditions, even though the ESOP on a post discounted basis contributes to 20% of an aggregated list of items 1 to 5, I will be giving this a big 0 and excluding it from my net worth thoughts. 

As of 31 Dec 2023, this is the split of contribution for items 1 to 5 above: 

1) Cash - 8%
2) ST Trading - 4%
3) CPF/SRS - 18%
4) AUM - 69%
5) OI - 2%

I like to think of this as a indication of "Total Resources" on hand. 

To think of if in even tighter terms, lets see the breakdown of what I like to call "Total Liquidity" since these can be liquidated at ease to serve life purposes. 

1) Cash - 10%
2) ST Trading - 4%
3) AUM - 85% 

As of 31 Dec 2023, my cash runway (summation of 1 and 2) before drawdown of AUM is roughly 5 years, so I do hope that it will help alleviate any sequence of returns risk and allow my AUM to grow in the market before I actually need to enact drawdown actions. 

AUM did grow 8% in 2023 which contributed to Total Resources growth of 6% despite having zero employment income for 7 months, and this gives me some confidence going forward. 

Separately, I do feel that to go 5 years without any income at 38 years old is quite improbable, which is another one of these thoughts that have surfaced quite quickly during my second time taking a F.I.R.E sabbatical. 

It is a bit hard to put a pulse on things, and might be worthwhile expounding on in a future post, but generally doing this sabbatical for the second time has given me more confidence to adapt my plans accordingly and not dwell too much on the numbers or get into a form of "analysis-paralysis". 

In any case, hope this post is somewhat helpful to the public, as it is to me in reflecting on the state of my personal finances in 2023. 

Wishing all readers good health to come in the upcoming year of the Dragon!